Transition Trees – Steps to construct
In the last section we discussed the basic
principles behind a Transition Tree. What they can be used for and how they can
help you achieve desired outcomes. In this section we will discuss the steps
necessary to construct the TT. There are five (5) steps to construct and if
followed in sequence should yield positive results in accomplishing the desired
out comes to achieve the final objective.
Step 1 - Define the situation for which you
are preparing the Transition Tree.
Not all situations can benefit from the
construction and use of a TT. Before you invest the time and effort to build
the tree make sure it is something you really want to do. In order to benefit
the most from a TT you must choose a subject that is important to you and one
in which it is helpful or necessary to map out a course of action. The TT will
also provide a useful tool to define how the actions can lead to the successful
accomplishment of the objective.
By clearly stating the starting point you
allow yourself the freedom to examine what it is you really want instead of
settling for what you think is possible. Write your situation in two sentences.
First, describe the need, and second define the subject of the TT you are going
to create.
Step 2 - Determine your objective(s).
A very clear verbalization of where you
ultimately want your analysis to end up provides an effective means to evaluate
the effectiveness of your actions. It is possible, when building a TT, to have
more than one objective listed at the top. However, a TT with more than one
objective is also harder to construct. It requires more focused attention on
the Desired Outcomes for each objective. It is also possible that each
objective could have similar or closely related Desired Outcomes. If the
objectives are different it could add confusion to your tree and make it
difficult to explain to someone else. A word of caution is to be careful when
selecting more than one objective. At times, it might also make sense to
construct two tree rather than just one.
When you are building a TT from a PRT, write
down an Intermediate Objective (IO) from the PRT that appears particularly difficult
to accomplish. It is possible to choose more than one IO from a PRT. However,
it is more practical to develop a TT for each IO, rather then trying to combine
them.
Ask yourself what the purpose of the plan is.
When the subject is a future event, the
purpose is something that you want. When the subject is a past event, the
purpose is the actual effects of the past. Sometimes a Transition Tree can have
multiple purposes.
State the purpose as a specific objective(s)
in the present tense.
Most of the time you will be writing a TT for
attainment of a future objective. By verbalizing the objective in the present
tense, you will be psychologically more invested in making it happen – it
doesn't sound so unrealistic or difficult to make happen. This minor shift in
perspective also helps you later in the process when you are checking the
sufficiency of the logic. State the objective as clearly as you can.
Using the Transition Tree as a delegation tool
There are many companies who proclaim
"empowerment" yet, there are few who have truly figured out how to
make it happen. Delegation can be one way of enabling empowerment as long as
the person delegating doesn't override the decisions/actions of the delegates.
The TT enables the one delegating to assign tasks and ensure that the delegates
meet the objective with certain freedoms. The tree provides a succinct means of
communicating clearly the “why” (the objectives/needs) along with the “what”
(the task) so that the delegates understand more clearly the dynamics of the
situation and are able to make decisions about actions based on whether or not
the objective will be achieved – without needing the constant support of the
person delegating.
Hint - Look at the big picture.
Ask yourself how the objectives relate to the
desired results of the organization. Will achievement of the objective help
move the organization toward its goal? If it doesn't, you should probably
reconsider what you have chosen as your objective and/or reconsider whether
this is a good investment of your time.
Step 3 - Determine the actions are necessary
to achieve your objective(s).
Using cause and effect analysis, the future is
always much more predictable than when using correlation techniques. You just
need to determine what actions you need to take. In Step 3 you need to build
the cause-effect structure that links the effects of your actions to the
objective(s) you have selected.
When you think about the actions you need to
consider what things need to be done to make the objective happen. These
actions define the grassroots level of things to be completed. These are the
things that you can go do “right now”. There is no planning below the action
level. This is the place it starts.
You are seeking to logically bridge the gap
between the current situation and the objective. The bridge will be provided
through your use of cause and effect that provides the link between actions,
their effects, and the objective.
Write the objective from Step 2 at the top of
a piece of paper.
Write a connection that describes a step
toward accomplishing the objective.
The basic elements you are trying to connect
include an action, and an entity that describes the need for the action, and
the desired outcome of the action.
Action - The action should be something that you believe is one of the
first things required to reach the objective. State the action as a complete
sentence. This will give you a starting point for constructing the tree. It may
or may not be the first action at the bottom of the page when the tree is
completed.
Need for action - There is something in the current situation
you are intuitively aware of that has made you feel the need to take the
action. After you verbalize the need, you have the opportunity to check if your
assumptions about reality are valid (i.e., apply the Entity Existence
reservation). This also provides an anchor by which others can judge the need
for the action.
Desired outcome - What do you need to have to achieve the
objective? Usually people fill this in after they have verbalized the action,
so the question becomes: What do you need to gain from the action so that you
are closer to achieving the objective? This step is difficult for many because
we all know that there are many possible effects that may result from an
action. What we are trying to do through the Transition Tree is have some
control over the possible effects by causing just one to occur. Clearly state
what it is that you want the action to accomplish?
Solidify the causality.
This step requires you to carefully check your
logic using the Categories of Legitimate Reservation and fill in any holes you
can find. Add actions, as needed to ensure the desirable outcomes. This is the
step at which you must be very precise about what you have written. An analysis
on paper may look good to you but reality is what counts.
Continue building upwards until you have
reached your objective (stated in Step 1).
At this point you probably have some “blank”
space between a Desired Outcome and your objective. Starting from the Desired
Outcome (Step 3) ask yourself what needs to be done next that will bring you
closer to the objective? If you are an action-oriented person, it will probably
be easier for you to construct the tree from the action perspective. If you
think more in terms of goals, it will probably be easier for you to continue
building from the Desirable Outcome perspective. Regardless of the trigger source,
you will need to continue to verbalize actions, needs, desirable outcomes, that
help solidify causality.
Some people might experience difficulty
continuing to build the tree. If such is the case then use the following
template to help fill in the missing links. This template can be especially
helpful to review when you are seeking to modify the structure for those who
will read it as it forces the writer to verbalize some steps in the evolution
of the tree that they may have taken for granted.
Step 4 - Look for any undesirable side
effects.
For most people, it is very easy to convince
themselves that their plan will work. However, many plans have been known to
fail, especially when some element of your plans does not produce the desired
effect and in fact produces an Undesirable Side Effect. Undesirable effects can
sometimes happen quickly and have instantly devastating effects on your
planning. Doing this step will guide you through the process to identify the
potential pitfalls of the plan and help define the necessary actions then to
resolve them.
Ensure there are no undesirable side effects.
For most people, it is very easy to convince
themselves that their plan will work. However, many plans have been known to
fail, especially when some element of your plans does not produce the desired
effect and in fact produces an Undesirable Side Effect. Undesirable effects can
sometimes happen quickly and have instantly devastating effects on your
planning. The steps of Key Action – 4 will guide you through the process to
identify the potential pitfalls of the plan and help define actions then to
resolve them.
Examine possible negative effects of your
actions.
Start at the action appearing at the bottom of
the page and ask yourself "If (action) and everything else remained as it
is today, then ..." This will surface potential effects of the action,
some of which are minor others of which might be major. If you find something
major proceed to the next section. If you don't anything, examine the next
action that appears in the tree keeping in mind that you have created a
partially new reality. This will slightly impact the question you will ask to
surface additional effects: "If (action) and (new reality) and everything
else remained as it is today, then...."
Add actions that will eliminate undesired
effects.
Focus your effort on removing the major
undesirable effects you have surfaced. Figure out what action that can be taken
to eliminate it. Incorporate this action, into the tree. The only way to
eliminate an unwanted effect is to take action – just saying that it will not
happen will not make it so. Don't forget to check if your new action causes
other major negative effects.
You are finished with this process once you
are satisfied that you know the potential side effects and you have resolved
all major issues that could jeopardize it.
Hint: Here are some questions to ask that may
help surface additional negative branches:
• What is the impact of this on T, I, and OE?
• What is the impact of this on other parts of
the organization?
Step 5 - Take action.
Reality doesn't change with thoughts and
plans, but rather with your actions. Step 5 is a gentle reminder that in order
for the objective(s) to be realized, actions must be taken in reality.
There you have it. I hope these writings have
been somewhat sufficient to give you a better understanding of the TOC Thinking
Processes and the ability to apply some of what you have learned to problem
solving. In my next post, we will look at a different topic, Project Management, which is still in the realm of Maximizing Profitability.
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